Can you make 1 million from tomato farming in a single acre? Is tomato farming profitable as said to be? Can it make you a millionaire, and if yes, when and how?

They say numbers never lie, and these are the costs, revenue and profits or losses from tomato farming per acre.

We cover every activity from land preparations, inputs, disease control, yield and market prices.

This is the reality of tomato farming in Kenya. The aim is to establish whether it’s a profitable business or not, and when you can make the most profits or losses and by how much.

Land Preparation Costs

Planting Materials

Fertilizers & Soil Amendments

Pest & Disease Control

Irrigation & Water

Labor Costs

Support Structures

Harvesting Costs

Other Costs

Total Cost of Tomato Farming Per Acre

Revenue Projection

Expected Yield

• Conservative estimate (most cases): 8-10 tonnes per acre
• Average estimate: 10-15 tonnes per acre
• Optimum estimate: 25-30 tonnes per acre

Revenue Calculation (Multiple Price Scenarios)

At Minimum Price (KSH 8 per kg)

At Moderate Price (KSH 15 per kg)

At Good Price (KSH 35 per kg)

Profitability Analysis for Tomato Farming Per Acre

At Minimum Price (KSH 8 per kg)

At Moderate Price (KSH 15 per kg)

At Good Price (KSH 35 per kg)

Read Also: Why Kenyan Tomato Farmers Are Throwing Away Their Produce

Risk Factors to Consider

1. Weather dependency – Drought or excessive rains affect the yield.
2. Price fluctuation – Tomato prices can vary from KSH 5-50 per kg, and sometimes finding a buyer can be next to impossible. Profits are not guaranteed.
3. Pest and disease pressure – Can significantly reduce yields or destroy the whole crop in totality overnight.
4. Market access – Transportation and storage are hectic, given the perishability of the tomato.
5. Input cost inflation – Fertiliser and chemical prices fluctuate, which can increase or decrease the above costs overnight.

Recommendations

1. Break-even Analysis: You need to sell at least 50 tons at KSH 8/kg OR 27 tons at KSH 15/kg to break even.
2. Price Timing Strategy: Though is hard, timing in order to harvest when market supply is low can offer you good market prices.
3. Yield Focus: With high input costs, achieving yields above 15 tons per acre is crucial for profitability.
4. Market Intelligence: Monitor market prices closely and consider when prices will be high to coincide with you’re harvesting.
5. Phased Investment: if you are new or risk-averse, consider starting with fewer seedlings (5,000-6,000) to reduce initial investment and minimise the risk of total loss.
6. Cost Reduction: The high irrigation setup cost can be amortized over 3-4 seasons. The ONLY sure way for profitability is maintaining costs as low as possible.
7. Risk Mitigation: Diversify planting dates to spread harvest over different price periods. Always sell at the prevailing market prices. You often tend to lose more while holding and waiting for prices to rise.

Making a million shillings from a single acre of tomatoes is no easy feat. The only scenario where this is achievable occurs during significant market scarcity, with prices soaring above 80 shillings per kilogram, and when you manage to harvest over 20 tons per acre.

About Post Author

Kelvin Wairimu

Kelvin Wairimu is a Young Passionate Agripreneur, Manager and Chief Editor Of The Farmworx. He is an Experienced and Practicing Farmer, Agricultural Economist and a Consultant.He holds a Bacherors Degree in Agricultural Economics From University of Eldoret,CPA 3 And a Certificate in Advanced Computer Software.

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